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2024-12-13 04:59:07

The US dollar index rose on the 11th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.29% that day and closed at 106.710 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0492 US dollars, lower than 1.0527 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2745, down from $1.2774 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.65 yen, higher than 151.93 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8848 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8829 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4162 Canadian dollars, down from 1.4165 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 10.9791, higher than SEK 10.9750 in the previous trading day.Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Market news: The doctor said that the operation of Brazilian President Lula was successful.


Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky explicitly rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union came to an end, and we made the latest efforts for peace, proposing a ceasefire on December 25th and conducting a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ". Hungarian Foreign Minister Jardot said on the same day that Orban mentioned the proposal of ceasefire and exchange of prisoners of war when talking with Putin, but Kiev rejected this proposal. It is said that the Hungarian government contacted Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga and Ukrainian President's Office Director Ermak.Giant Wheel Intelligence: The business income related to the "robot concept" has limited impact on the company's short-term performance. Giant Wheel Intelligence issued a change announcement, and the company was concerned that some media listed the company as a stock related to the "robot concept". As of the disclosure date of this announcement, the related business income has limited impact on the company's short-term performance.The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)


Brazil's Vale said it had reached an agreement with the US Department of Energy to provide financing of $282.9 million for the Louisiana plant until 2031.Central Economic Work Conference: Next year, a more active fiscal policy will be implemented, the fiscal deficit ratio will be raised, and extra-long special government bonds will be issued. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, maintain a basic balance of international payments, and promote the simultaneous growth of residents' income and economic growth. The meeting demanded that next year, we should persist in striving for progress in stability, promoting stability through progress, keeping integrity and innovation, establishing before breaking, system integration and coordination. It is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. (CCTV News)Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of macro-policy at present. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency and expand domestic demand in all directions. At present, China is in the stage of rapid growth of service consumption. In the future, all parties should continuously optimize and expand service supply, better stimulate the endogenous kinetic energy of service consumption, and provide strong support for expanding domestic demand and stimulating the economy. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.

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